What winter here does to a heat pump
Heat runs eight months a year here, October through May, against two months of cooling. The overnight low averages 19°F across December, January and February. That is below 40°F, the point where a standard heat pump starts making less heat than its rating, and below 35°F, the point where it often needs backup heat to make up the difference. About 120 nights a year fall to freezing or below, roughly half the nights in the heating season, and every one of them sits below both marks.
That does not mean the heat pump quits. It means that on about half the nights of the season, a standard model is leaning on backup heat to hold the house at temperature, and backup heat is usually electric resistance, the most expensive way to turn electricity into warmth. The $2.37 per 100,000 Btu shown above is the heat pump's cost without any backup heat added in. On the colder nights here, the real cost runs higher than that.
The real deep cold is rare. About 2 nights a year reach 0°F or below, a small part of the 120 freezing nights. That is the gap a cold climate heat pump is built for: a long stretch of nights in the 20s and 30s with only a couple of nights that drop much further. To earn the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate mark, a heat pump has to keep making at least 1.75 units of heat per unit of electricity at 5°F, and hold on to 70 percent of its warm-weather capacity at that temperature, verified by outside testing. In a two-winter field test of prototype cold-climate units in occupied homes, backup heat covered only a small share of the heat needed between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F. A standard heat pump carries no such rating, and nothing here says which kind a given house would get.











