What winter here does to a heat pump
Your furnace or heat pump runs about eight months a year here, October through May, longer than almost anything else in the house. That is the real test, not the three summer months. The overnight low averages 22°F across December, January and February, and it drops to freezing or below on about 130 nights a year. That is more than half the nights in the heating season.
A standard heat pump starts losing ground before it gets anywhere near that cold. Below 40°F it already puts out less heat than its rating says. Below about 35°F it often needs backup heat to keep up. Fayette County's average winter night is 22°F, under both marks, and every one of those 130 freezing nights is too. This is not a once-a-winter event here. It is most of the season.
That does not rule a heat pump out. Cold climate models carry an ENERGY STAR rating that requires them to hold at least 1.75 units of heat per unit of electricity at 5°F, and keep at least 70 percent of their 47°F capacity at that temperature, checked by outside testing. Field tests of that kind of equipment found backup heat carried only a small share of the load between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F. A standard heat pump sized for this county's federal minimum will lean on backup heat all winter. A cold climate one mostly will not.











