Cold winters and what a heat pump does with them
Winter here is the whole question. The heat runs about eight months a year, October through May, and the overnight low averages 20°F across December, January and February. About 140 nights a year drop to freezing or below, over half the nights the heat is even running. A standard heat pump loses ground in exactly that range. Below 40°F it puts out less heat than its rating, and below about 35°F it often needs backup heat to make up the difference. Every one of those 140 nights falls below both marks.
That does not mean a heat pump stops working. It means it is not working at full strength on most of the nights you need it most. The furnace does not have this problem. A gas furnace or an oil furnace makes its full rated heat whether it is 30°F outside or 0°F, and this county sees 0°F about 5 nights a year. That is a small part of the season, but it is the kind of cold where a standard heat pump leans hardest on backup heat.
There is a real answer to this, which is a cold climate heat pump. To carry the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate label, a heat pump has to keep at least 70 percent of its 47°F capacity once it hits 5°F, and still produce more heat than the electricity it uses at that temperature. Field tests of these back that up: over two winters, backup heat covered only a small share of the output between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F. So the cold itself is not a reason to rule out a heat pump here. A standard one built to the federal minimum is.











