What winter actually asks of a heat pump here
Winter here is the long season. Heat runs seven months, October through April, against four months of cooling. That split matters because it's the furnace or heat pump doing most of the work, most of the year, not the air conditioning.
The overnight low averages 27°F across December, January and February. That number sits below both marks that matter for a heat pump: below 40°F its heat output falls short of its rating, and below about 35°F it often needs backup heat. An average winter night here is colder than either line.
It's not a constant deep freeze. The low hits freezing or below on about 75 nights a year, under half the nights of the heating season. Of those 75, only about one night in a typical year reaches 0°F. So the cold that matters here is mild cold, repeated often, not extreme cold.
A standard heat pump handles that kind of cold, but not at full strength. It will lean on backup heat on a good number of those 75 nights. A cold climate model, the kind certified to hold 70 percent of its capacity at 5°F, is built for exactly this pattern of frequent mild freezes rather than rare deep ones. Field tests of that kind of equipment back this up: backup heat covered only a small share of the output between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F.
Summer asks much less of either machine. The afternoon high averages 85°F in June, July and August, and only climbs to 90°F or higher on about 30 days a year. A heat pump cools as part of the same system that heats, which a furnace cannot do.











