What winter here does to a heat pump
Your furnace or heat pump has to work from October through May here, eight months, longer than it runs in most places. The overnight low averages 21°F across December, January and February, and that number matters more than the average winter temperature most pages quote, because it tells you what the machine faces at night, every night, for three months straight.
A standard heat pump starts losing ground before it gets that cold. Below 40°F it puts out less heat than its rating says, and below about 35°F it typically needs backup heat to make up the difference. Both marks sit above the 21°F average low here, and every one of the roughly 135 nights a year that drop to freezing or below is colder than both. That is not an occasional cold snap. That is most of the winter.
Only about 5 nights a year reach 0°F here, so the deep cold is rare. The near-freezing cold is not. A heat pump sized and built to the federal minimum will be leaning on backup heat for a large part of the season, not just a few nights in January.
There is a real answer to this, and it is not to avoid heat pumps here. Cold climate heat pumps are built and tested for exactly this problem. To earn the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate label, a heat pump has to keep at least 70 percent of its rated heating capacity at 5°F and still produce 1.75 units of heat for every unit of electricity it uses at that temperature. In field testing of prototype cold climate heat pumps through two winters in occupied homes, backup heat covered only a small share of the heat needed between 0°F and 35°F, and the units ran on backup heat alone only rarely, even above 0°F. A furnace never has this problem, because it does not rely on outdoor air to make heat.











