Your winters are the whole question
Carbon County heat runs eight months a year, October through May. That is the long season here, not the two months of cooling in summer. Whatever you install is going to spend most of its working life making heat, so it has to be good at that first.
The overnight low here averages 19°F across December, January and February. That is below both marks that matter for a standard heat pump. Below 40°F, a standard heat pump's output falls short of its rating. Below about 35°F, it often needs backup heat to make up the difference. At 19°F average, you are past both marks most winter nights, not just on the cold snaps.
About 140 nights a year here drop to freezing or below, more than half the nights across an eight-month heating season. On a standard heat pump, every one of those nights is below the 35°F and 40°F marks. That is not an occasional backup situation, it is most of the season.
The deep cold is rarer. Only about 5 nights a year reach 0°F or below. That matters because it tells you what kind of heat pump could work here. A cold climate model, the kind certified under ENERGY STAR's Cold Climate rating, has to deliver at least 70 percent of its 47°F capacity and a heating ratio of at least 1.75 at 5°F, tested by a third party. A standard heat pump carries no such guarantee at that temperature. If you are going with a heat pump in Carbon County, this is the spec that decides whether it keeps up.











